Zamora CF 2-3 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora CF EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.38/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.98/2.94
-13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -53%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora CF
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Aviles
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.03.2024 Real Aviles Real Aviles 0-1 HT 0-1 Zamora CF Zamora CF İS4
12.11.2023 Zamora CF Zamora CF 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
07.05.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-1 HT 1-0 Zamora CF Zamora CF İS4
08.01.2023 Zamora CF Zamora CF 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
11.05.2014 Real Aviles Real Aviles 4-0 HT 0-0 Zamora CF Zamora CF İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora CF
2-3
AWAY Real Aviles
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zamora CF vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles edged past Zamora CF 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zamora CF at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Zamora CF had 54% of the ball to Real Aviles's 46%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Zamora CF and 1.40 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Zamora CF vs Real Aviles?

Zamora CF 2-3 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora CF vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamora CF win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Zamora CF 54%, draw 24%, Real Aviles 22%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zamora CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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