ABD U20 1-3 Fas U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup U20, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
19%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.74
Over 2.5
54%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
21%
3.82
6+ Goals
13%
17.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.82 — our 21% vs market 19.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
47%
+10.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
19%
Away Win
25%
-6.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD U20 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Fas U20 EU Bookmakers 29%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+128% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD U20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fas U20
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.09.2025 ABD U20 ABD U20 4-1 Fas U20 Fas U20 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD U20
1-3
AWAY Fas U20
1.55 xG 0.84
73% Ball Possession 27%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
519 Passes 149
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 16
36 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ABD U20 vs Fas U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas U20 beat ABD U20 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had ABD U20 at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, ABD U20 had 73% of the ball to Fas U20's 27%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.55 to 0.84 — the balance of chances actually favoured ABD U20.

What was the final score of ABD U20 vs Fas U20?

ABD U20 1-3 Fas U20 in the World Cup U20 on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD U20 vs Fas U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split ABD U20 58%, draw 24%, Fas U20 19%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ABD U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ABD U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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