Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Yokohama FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
4.0
6+ Goals
11%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.18
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.4
X/1
27%
4.0
X/2
7%
9.9
X/X
12%
4.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
26.0
2/2
9%
8.59
2/X
7%
17.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.86/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.54
-9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Yokohama FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.01 xG 0.65
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
371 Passes 290
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2025 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
22.06.2025 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 0-4 HT 0-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
02.03.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
16.07.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
24.05.2023 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
15.04.2023 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2-1
AWAY Yokohama FC
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima squeezed past Yokohama FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 49% of the ball to Yokohama FC's 51%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.33 for Yokohama FC.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama FC?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Yokohama FC in the Japan - League Cup on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54%, draw 25%, Yokohama FC 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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