Penzügyör 1-2 Siofok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penzügyör EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Siofok EU Bookmakers 37%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+94% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
305 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Penzügyör vs Siofok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siofok squeezed past Penzügyör 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Penzügyör at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Penzügyör vs Siofok?

Penzügyör 1-2 Siofok in the Hungary - NB III on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penzügyör vs Siofok?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penzügyör win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Penzügyör 43%, draw 27%, Siofok 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Penzügyör) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penzügyör) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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