Notodden 4-3 SK Traeff — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 12 Oct 2025

Notodden
4-3 HT 3-1
SK Traeff
📅12/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2025

Notodden vs SK Traeff Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.37
6+ Goals
8%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 31% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.9pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notodden v SK Traeff — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notodden EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY SK Traeff EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.45/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.66
-18% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
232 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Notodden vs SK Traeff Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notodden
1W-1D-1L
AWAY SK Traeff
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.06.2025 SK Traeff SK Traeff 1-1 HT 1-1 Notodden Notodden NOR3
13.08.2023 SK Traeff SK Traeff 1-2 HT 1-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
07.05.2023 Notodden Notodden 1-2 HT 1-0 SK Traeff SK Traeff NOR3
POST-MATCH Notodden vs SK Traeff
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notodden squeezed past SK Traeff 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Notodden made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Notodden and 1.33 for SK Traeff.

What was the final score of Notodden vs SK Traeff?

Notodden 4-3 SK Traeff in the Norway - 2nd Division on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notodden vs SK Traeff?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notodden win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Notodden 39%, draw 26%, SK Traeff 34%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notodden) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Notodden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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