Afyonspor 1-2 Denizli İY Güreller — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.65
Draw
15%
3.8
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
18%
+14.1pp
15%
Draw
23%
-7.8pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afyonspor EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Denizli İY Güreller EU Bookmakers 62%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
267 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afyonspor
1-2
AWAY Denizli İY Güreller
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Afyonspor vs Denizli İY Güreller
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denizli İY Güreller nicked a narrow win over Afyonspor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Denizli İY Güreller as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Afyonspor had 43% of the ball to Denizli İY Güreller's 57%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Afyonspor vs Denizli İY Güreller?

Afyonspor 1-2 Denizli İY Güreller in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afyonspor vs Denizli İY Güreller?

Before kick-off our model rated an Denizli İY Güreller win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Afyonspor 33%, draw 15%, Denizli İY Güreller 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denizli İY Güreller) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Denizli İY Güreller) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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