Afyonspor Kulübü 1-2 Denizli İY Güreller — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+9.4pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.7pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afyonspor Kulübü EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Denizli İY Güreller EU Bookmakers 62%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
267 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afyonspor Kulübü
1-2
AWAY Denizli İY Güreller
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Afyonspor Kulübü vs Denizli İY Güreller
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denizli İY Güreller squeezed past Afyonspor Kulübü 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Denizli İY Güreller as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Afyonspor Kulübü had 44% of the ball to Denizli İY Güreller's 56%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Afyonspor Kulübü vs Denizli İY Güreller?

Afyonspor Kulübü 1-2 Denizli İY Güreller in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afyonspor Kulübü vs Denizli İY Güreller?

Before kick-off our model rated an Denizli İY Güreller win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Afyonspor Kulübü 28%, draw 19%, Denizli İY Güreller 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denizli İY Güreller), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Denizli İY Güreller) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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