Erbaaspor 1-0 Ankaraspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ankaraspor EU Bookmakers 49%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.57/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+111% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Erbaaspor vs Ankaraspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbaaspor nicked a narrow win over Ankaraspor 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ankaraspor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Erbaaspor vs Ankaraspor?

Erbaaspor 1-0 Ankaraspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbaaspor vs Ankaraspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ankaraspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Erbaaspor 31%, draw 22%, Ankaraspor 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ankaraspor) ✗ BTTS Yes
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