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Atletico Madrid (K) vs Juventus (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Madrid (K) v Juventus (K) — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Madrid (K) 1-2 Juventus (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Juventus (K) edged past Atletico Madrid (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Atletico Madrid (K) at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 69% of the ball to Juventus (K)'s 31%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.90 to 0.85.
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Juventus (K)?
Atletico Madrid (K) 1-2 Juventus (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 12/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Juventus (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 54%, draw 22%, Juventus (K) 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid (K)) went the other way.