Stade Gabesien 2-1 AS Ariana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 12 Nov 2025

Stade Gabesien
2-1 HT 2-0
AS Ariana
📅12/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2025/2026

Stade Gabesien vs AS Ariana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.2pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.3pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stade Gabesien v AS Ariana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Gabesien EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.51/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.29
-55% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
246 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
POST-MATCH Stade Gabesien vs AS Ariana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Gabesien edged past AS Ariana 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stade Gabesien as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Stade Gabesien vs AS Ariana?

Stade Gabesien 2-1 AS Ariana in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 12/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Gabesien vs AS Ariana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Gabesien win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stade Gabesien 43%, draw 33%, AS Ariana 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Gabesien) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Gabesien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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