Arema Malang 1-1 Persis Solo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 12 Dec 2024

📅12/12/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.3pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Persis Solo EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -15%
1.90/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.28
+6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
413 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arema Malang
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Persis Solo
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Corners 7
09.12.2023 Arema Malang Arema Malang 3-1 HT 2-1 Persis Solo Persis Solo ENDL1
11.12.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-1 HT 1-1 Persis Solo Persis Solo ENDL1
POST-MATCH Arema Malang vs Persis Solo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arema Malang and Persis Solo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Arema Malang at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arema Malang had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Arema Malang and 1.00 for Persis Solo.

What was the final score of Arema Malang vs Persis Solo?

Arema Malang 1-1 Persis Solo in the Indonesia League 1 on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arema Malang vs Persis Solo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arema Malang win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Arema Malang 57%, draw 24%, Persis Solo 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arema Malang), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arema Malang) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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