Sioni Bolnisi 1-1 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 12 Dec 2024

📅12/12/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
2.03
Over
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
44%
4-5
22%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
38%
-8.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sioni Bolnisi The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra The Market 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sioni Bolnisi
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gagra
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2022 Gagra Gagra 2-1 HT 1-0 Sioni Bolnisi Sioni Bolnisi GUR
01.09.2022 Sioni Bolnisi Sioni Bolnisi 0-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sioni Bolnisi
1-1
AWAY Gagra
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sioni Bolnisi vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sioni Bolnisi and Gagra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gagra at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sioni Bolnisi had 43% of the ball to Gagra's 57%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gagra led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sioni Bolnisi and 1.00 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Sioni Bolnisi vs Gagra?

Sioni Bolnisi 1-1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sioni Bolnisi vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sioni Bolnisi 30%, draw 28%, Gagra 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gagra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gagra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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