Lugazi Municipal vs Mbarara City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lugazi Municipal v Mbarara City — Team-Based Signals
Lugazi Municipal 1-1 Mbarara City — Actual Match Statistics
Lugazi Municipal and Mbarara City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.
On the day, Lugazi Municipal had 66% of the ball to Mbarara City's 34%, shots finished 14-7.
What was the final score of Lugazi Municipal vs Mbarara City?
Lugazi Municipal 1-1 Mbarara City in the Uganda - Premier League on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lugazi Municipal vs Mbarara City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lugazi Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lugazi Municipal 39%, draw 27%, Mbarara City 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lugazi Municipal), BTTS No went the other way.