Ayr United 2-4 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 12 Dec 2025

📅12/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
48%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.75
Over
47%
1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.84
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.81
6+
5%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.84
1/2
3%
26.0
1/X
5%
14.85
X/1
10%
7.43
X/2
17%
4.58
X/X
17%
4.54
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
28%
2.78
2/X
5%
13.9
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ayr United The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone The Market 50%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.92 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.53
1.65 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.08
Average Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Weak
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
227 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
10 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13 Crosses
1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY St. Johnstone
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 11
04.10.2025 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
25.07.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-2 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
23.07.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
08.02.2020 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 1-2 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKK
24.04.2004 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKCL
14.02.2004 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 3-0 HT 2-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
REVIEW Ayr United vs St. Johnstone
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

St. Johnstone had too much for Ayr United 4-2 on the road. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ayr United and 1.33 for St. Johnstone.

Ayr United vs St. Johnstone Result & Final Score

Ayr United 2 - 4 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Championship on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ayr United vs St. Johnstone Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 25%, draw 27%, St. Johnstone 48%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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