Ulm 1846 3-5 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 12 Dec 2025

Ulm 1846
3-5 HT 1-2
Osnabrück
📅12/12/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Ulm 1846 vs Osnabrück Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.35
6+ Goals
12%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.82
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.85
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
8%
6.86
X/2
22%
5.09
X/X
10%
4.89
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
18%
3.04
2/X
8%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
49%
Away Win
43%
+5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ulm 1846 v Osnabrück — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 48%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +28%
0.90/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.10
-32% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
19.3 Crosses 22.8
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Ulm 1846 3-5 Osnabrück — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
3-5
AWAY Osnabrück
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
439 Passes 326
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Crosses 13
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ulm 1846 vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück saw off Ulm 1846 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Osnabrück as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ulm 1846 had 56% of the ball to Osnabrück's 44%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Osnabrück?

Ulm 1846 3-5 Osnabrück in the Germany - 3rd Division on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 27%, draw 24%, Osnabrück 49%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osnabrück), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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