Werder Bremen (K) 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 12 Dec 2025

📅12/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.4pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.09/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.57
+80% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 78%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
21.8 Crosses 16.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen (K)
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.58 xG 1.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
233 Passes 328
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 6-0 HT 2-0 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) ALKB
12.10.2024 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
26.01.2024 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen (K)
1-0
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
0.88 xG 0.28
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
210 Passes 299
67% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen (K) squeezed past Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bayer Leverkusen (K) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Werder Bremen (K) had 43% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 57%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.88 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Werder Bremen (K) and 2.67 for Bayer Leverkusen (K).

What was the final score of Werder Bremen (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Werder Bremen (K) 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen (K) 29%, draw 26%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) ✓ BTTS No
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