Lommel United 2-0 KAA Gent II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 12 Dec 2025

📅12/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.4pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY KAA Gent II EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.87/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.84
+18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
18.8 Crosses 8.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
2-0
AWAY KAA Gent II
0.91 xG 1.93
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
419 Passes 500
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 25
5 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs KAA Gent II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United got the better of KAA Gent II 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lommel United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lommel United had 46% of the ball to KAA Gent II's 54%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.91 to 1.93 — on chances, KAA Gent II could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs KAA Gent II?

Lommel United 2-0 KAA Gent II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs KAA Gent II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 44%, draw 24%, KAA Gent II 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lommel United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lommel United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
12 Dec 2025
22:00 Waasland-Beveren vs RSC Anderlecht II Analysis →