USM El Harrach 1-0 JS Kabylie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 12 Dec 2025

📅12/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.52
Over
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
43%
4-5
15%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM El Harrach The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY JS Kabylie The Market 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -60%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM El Harrach
1W-1D-0L
AWAY JS Kabylie
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
10.01.2025 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie 0-1 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach CZYRK
20.12.2014 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach 0-0 HT 0-0 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM El Harrach
1-0
AWAY JS Kabylie
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM El Harrach vs JS Kabylie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach squeezed past JS Kabylie 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; USM El Harrach found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, USM El Harrach had 38% of the ball to JS Kabylie's 62%, shots finished 6-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, USM El Harrach had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for USM El Harrach and 0.00 for JS Kabylie.

What was the final score of USM El Harrach vs JS Kabylie?

USM El Harrach 1-0 JS Kabylie in the Algeria - National Cup on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM El Harrach vs JS Kabylie?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split USM El Harrach 37%, draw 28%, JS Kabylie 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM El Harrach), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM El Harrach) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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