Havadar 1-1 Nassaji Mazandaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 12 Dec 2025

Havadar
1-1 HT 0-0
Nassaji Mazandaran
📅12/12/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2025/2026

Havadar vs Nassaji Mazandaran Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
46%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
12%
5.65
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.07 — our 42% vs market 40.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.6pp
46%
Away Win
38%
+8.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Havadar v Nassaji Mazandaran — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havadar EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.77
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Havadar vs Nassaji Mazandaran Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havadar
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
01.05.2025 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-0 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
20.12.2024 Havadar Havadar 0-1 HT 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
24.12.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 2-2 HT 0-2 Havadar Havadar IRAN
24.12.2022 Havadar Havadar 1-1 HT 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
18.05.2022 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 2-1 HT 0-1 Havadar Havadar IRAN
03.01.2022 Havadar Havadar 0-0 HT 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
POST-MATCH Havadar vs Nassaji Mazandaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havadar and Nassaji Mazandaran shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nassaji Mazandaran at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nassaji Mazandaran led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Havadar and 1.00 for Nassaji Mazandaran.

What was the final score of Havadar vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Havadar 1-1 Nassaji Mazandaran in the Iran - Azadegan League on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havadar vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nassaji Mazandaran win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Havadar 29%, draw 25%, Nassaji Mazandaran 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nassaji Mazandaran), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nassaji Mazandaran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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