Hythe 1-2 Chorley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 13 Jan 2024

Hythe
1-2 HT 1-1
Chorley
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Hythe vs Chorley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
45%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.74
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 27% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
27%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-9.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hythe v Chorley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hythe EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Chorley EU Bookmakers 59%
+62% / +62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+78% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Hythe vs Chorley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley edged past Hythe 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chorley as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Hythe vs Chorley?

Hythe 1-2 Chorley in the England - FA Cup on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hythe vs Chorley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hythe 31%, draw 24%, Chorley 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chorley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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