Napoli (K) 2-4 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
52%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.1pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.3pp
52%
Away Win
67%
-15.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) / +0%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
2-4
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
1.96 xG 1.09
36% Ball Possession 64%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
188 Passes 409
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 40
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) beat Napoli (K) 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fiorentina (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 36% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 64%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.96 to 1.09 — on chances, Napoli (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Napoli (K) 2-4 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 21%, draw 27%, Fiorentina (K) 52%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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