KA Akureyri 2-3 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 13 Jan 2024

KA Akureyri
2-3 HT 1-3
Afturelding
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Iceland - League Cup – 2024

KA Akureyri vs Afturelding Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
3.17
Over 2.5
54%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.43
No
54%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
28%
+17.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
72%
-17.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
66%
-19.7pp
54%
BTTS No
34%
+19.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KA Akureyri v Afturelding — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.37/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.17
-45% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +89%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

KA Akureyri vs Afturelding Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Afturelding
7.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
06.03.2021 Afturelding Afturelding 1-7 HT 0-2 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZLK
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding squeezed past KA Akureyri 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was KA Akureyri at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Afturelding?

KA Akureyri 2-3 Afturelding in the Iceland - League Cup on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 54%, draw 21%, Afturelding 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (KA Akureyri), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →