Valur 7-1 Throttur Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Reykjavik Cup, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
240 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
22.08.2016 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 0-4 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
22.05.2016 Valur Valur 4-1 HT 3-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL
17.08.2009 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
01.06.2009 Valur Valur 2-1 HT 1-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL
18.09.2008 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 0-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL
29.06.2008 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 0-3 HT 0-2 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
7-1
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Valur vs Throttur Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur cruised past Throttur Reykjavik 7-1. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Throttur Reykjavik at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Valur had 58% of the ball to Throttur Reykjavik's 42%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Valur and 0.33 for Throttur Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Valur vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Valur 7-1 Throttur Reykjavik in the Iceland - Reykjavik Cup on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Throttur Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Valur 30%, draw 25%, Throttur Reykjavik 45%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Throttur Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Throttur Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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