Busaiteen 1-3 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Cup, 13 Jan 2024

Busaiteen
1-3 HT 0-1
Muharraq
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Bahrain - Cup – 2023/2024

Busaiteen vs Muharraq Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.03
Over 2.5
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.12
6+ Goals
13%
10.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.12 — our 29% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+3.0pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Busaiteen v Muharraq — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busaiteen EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 48%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+113% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +54%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Busaiteen vs Muharraq Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busaiteen
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Muharraq
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.11.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAH
11.10.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 2-0 HT 1-0 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAHKK
10.04.2021 Busaiteen Busaiteen 1-1 HT 0-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
04.02.2021 Busaiteen Busaiteen 1-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
30.10.2020 Muharraq Muharraq 4-1 HT 2-0 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAHK
POST-MATCH Busaiteen vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq beat Busaiteen 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Muharraq found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Muharraq led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Busaiteen and 1.60 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of Busaiteen vs Muharraq?

Busaiteen 1-3 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Cup on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busaiteen vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Busaiteen 35%, draw 27%, Muharraq 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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