Monaco 1-3 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 13 Jan 2024

Monaco
1-3 HT 0-1
Reims
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Monaco vs Reims Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.93
6+ Goals
9%
8.57
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.5 — our 26% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.12
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
15%
4.15
X/2
6%
9.59
X/X
6%
5.73
2/1
6%
21.0
2/2
15%
6.77
2/X
9%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monaco v Reims — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.52/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.41
-2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
17.8 Crosses 14.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Monaco vs Reims Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Reims
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.16 xG 1.03
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
436 Passes 280
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Reims Reims 1-3 HT 0-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
12.03.2023 Monaco Monaco 0-1 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
18.09.2022 Reims Reims 0-3 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
27.02.2022 Monaco Monaco 1-2 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
07.11.2021 Reims Reims 0-0 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
09.05.2021 Reims Reims 0-1 HT 0-1 Monaco Monaco FR1

Monaco 1-3 Reims — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
1-3
AWAY Reims
1.18 xG 1.54
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
439 Passes 305
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monaco vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reims saw off Monaco 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Monaco at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Monaco had 57% of the ball to Reims's 43%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.18 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Monaco and 0.67 for Reims.

What was the final score of Monaco vs Reims?

Monaco 1-3 Reims in the France - Ligue 1 on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaco vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Monaco 49%, draw 25%, Reims 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monaco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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