13/01/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-2
Ain Sud vs Lyon-Duchere Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over Pick
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
44%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
40%
Home Win
30%
25%
Draw
26%
34%
Away Win
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ain Sud v Lyon-Duchere — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ain Sud
The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lyon-Duchere
The Market 48%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
13
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
294 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
328 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ain Sud vs Lyon-Duchere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ain Sud and Lyon-Duchere couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Ain Sud vs Lyon-Duchere?
Ain Sud 1-1 Lyon-Duchere in the France - National League 3 on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ain Sud vs Lyon-Duchere?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ain Sud win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ain Sud 40%, draw 25%, Lyon-Duchere 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ain Sud), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Ain Sud)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
13 Jan 2024