Chatellerault 3-2 Chateauroux II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No Pick
53%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
48%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
54%
-11.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chatellerault The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux II The Market 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Chatellerault vs Chateauroux II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chatellerault edged past Chateauroux II 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chatellerault as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Chatellerault vs Chateauroux II?

Chatellerault 3-2 Chateauroux II in the France - National League 3 on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chatellerault vs Chateauroux II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chatellerault win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chatellerault 42%, draw 28%, Chateauroux II 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chatellerault), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chatellerault) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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