Fougere 1-4 Plabennec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No Pick
54%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
45%
4-5
22%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fougere The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Plabennec The Market 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Fougere vs Plabennec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plabennec cruised past Fougere 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fougere at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Fougere vs Plabennec?

Fougere 1-4 Plabennec in the France - National League 3 on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fougere vs Plabennec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fougere win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fougere 48%, draw 23%, Plabennec 29%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fougere) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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