Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 31%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-49% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.47 xG 2.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
333 Passes 356
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
01.10.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-1 HT 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
16.03.2018 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-2 HT 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
14.10.2017 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 0-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
12.08.2017 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AFK
04.04.2017 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
2-2
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld and Fortuna Düsseldorf couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 36% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 64%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 2.67 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Friendlies on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 39%, draw 26%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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