Düren Merzenich 0-3 Borussia Freialdenhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.0pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.8pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Düren Merzenich The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Freialdenhoven The Market 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
357 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Düren Merzenich
0-3
AWAY Borussia Freialdenhoven
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Düren Merzenich vs Borussia Freialdenhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Freialdenhoven swept aside Düren Merzenich 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Borussia Freialdenhoven made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Düren Merzenich had 42% of the ball to Borussia Freialdenhoven's 58%, shots finished 4-14.

What was the final score of Düren Merzenich vs Borussia Freialdenhoven?

Düren Merzenich 0-3 Borussia Freialdenhoven in the Friendlies on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Düren Merzenich vs Borussia Freialdenhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Freialdenhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Düren Merzenich 32%, draw 34%, Borussia Freialdenhoven 34%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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