Hannover 96 3-2 Holstein Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 13 Jan 2024

Hannover 96
3-2 HT 2-1
Holstein Kiel
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.59
Over 2.5
49%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.43
No
50%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.98
4-5 Goals
24%
2.62
6+ Goals
11%
6.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.37 — our 26% vs market 13.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.4
1/2
8%
23.85
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
12%
5.92
X/2
16%
5.84
X/X
13%
5.82
2/1
5%
23.85
2/2
10%
3.35
2/X
8%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
66%
-15.8pp
50%
BTTS No
34%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hannover 96 v Holstein Kiel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 42%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.36/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.50
-11% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Holstein Kiel
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.20 xG 1.24
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 Passes 380
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 3-0 HT 3-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
28.05.2023 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-5 HT 0-3 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
11.11.2022 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-1 HT 1-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
25.02.2022 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
18.09.2021 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 0-3 HT 0-3 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
10.05.2021 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-0 HT 1-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 nicked a narrow win over Holstein Kiel 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Hannover 96 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hannover 96 and 1.67 for Holstein Kiel.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel?

Hannover 96 3-2 Holstein Kiel in the Friendlies on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 39%, draw 27%, Holstein Kiel 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hannover 96) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✗ Under 2.5
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