Newington Youth 1-3 Bangor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.12
2-3 Goals
45%
1.93
4-5 Goals
19%
2.6
6+ Goals
15%
6.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.9pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.15/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.86
+40% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
233 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bangor FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-1 HT 0-0 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL1
23.09.2023 Bangor FC Bangor FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newington Youth
1-3
AWAY Bangor FC
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Bangor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangor FC got the better of Newington Youth 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bangor FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Newington Youth had 55% of the ball to Bangor FC's 45%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Newington Youth and 1.50 for Bangor FC.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Bangor FC?

Newington Youth 1-3 Bangor FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Bangor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 36%, draw 22%, Bangor FC 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangor FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bangor FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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