13/01/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Vihiga United vs Isibania Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No Pick
54%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
41%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
45%
Home Win
49%
21%
Draw
25%
34%
Away Win
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vihiga United v Isibania — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vihiga United
The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Isibania
The Market 30%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
400 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
302 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Vihiga United vs Isibania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vihiga United saw off Isibania 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vihiga United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
What was the final score of Vihiga United vs Isibania?
Vihiga United 2-0 Isibania in the Kenya - Super League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vihiga United vs Isibania?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vihiga United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vihiga United 45%, draw 21%, Isibania 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vihiga United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Vihiga United)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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13 Jan 2024