Alajuelense 1-0 Sporting San Jose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-9.5pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.4pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
2.35/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.13
+3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sporting San Jose
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-2 HT 0-2 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
06.08.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
30.03.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
30.01.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-1 HT 3-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
04.09.2022 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-1 HT 1-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
10.08.2022 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-2 HT 1-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
1-0
AWAY Sporting San Jose
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense nicked a narrow win over Sporting San Jose 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Alajuelense had 67% of the ball to Sporting San Jose's 33%, shots finished 14-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alajuelense and 1.33 for Sporting San Jose.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose?

Alajuelense 1-0 Sporting San Jose in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 59%, draw 24%, Sporting San Jose 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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