Calor de San Pedro 2-1 Leones Negros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-10.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.5pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Calor de San Pedro EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Calor de San Pedro vs Leones Negros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Calor de San Pedro squeezed past Leones Negros 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Calor de San Pedro as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Calor de San Pedro vs Leones Negros?

Calor de San Pedro 2-1 Leones Negros in the Mexico - Primera A on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Calor de San Pedro vs Leones Negros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Calor de San Pedro win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Calor de San Pedro 48%, draw 30%, Leones Negros 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Calor de San Pedro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Calor de San Pedro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
13 Jan 2024
04:00 Cimarrones de Sonora II vs Mexicali FC Analysis →
04:45 Orgullo Reynosa vs Estudiantes Tecos Analysis →