Bugesera 0-0 AS Kigali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ruanda - National Futbol League, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.16
Draw
27%
7.78
Away
26%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
40%
4-5
27%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
14%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
83%
-36.3pp
27%
Draw
11%
+16.3pp
26%
Away Win
6%
+19.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bugesera The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Kigali The Market 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
483 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bugesera
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AS Kigali
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.08.2023 AS Kigali AS Kigali 1-0 HT 1-0 Bugesera RUA
POST-MATCH Bugesera vs AS Kigali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bugesera and AS Kigali fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bugesera at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Bugesera vs AS Kigali?

Bugesera 0-0 AS Kigali in the Ruanda - National Futbol League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bugesera vs AS Kigali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bugesera win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bugesera 47%, draw 27%, AS Kigali 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bugesera), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bugesera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUA More Ruanda - National Futbol League
13 Jan 2024
16:00 Gorilla vs Etincelles Analysis →