İnegölspor 2-0 24Erzincanspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İnegölspor EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY 24Erzincanspor EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.98/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.00
+59% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İnegölspor
0W-0D-3L
AWAY 24Erzincanspor
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2023 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor 1-0 HT 0-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor S2-K
10.09.2022 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor 2-1 HT 1-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor S2-B
13.12.2020 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor 1-0 HT 1-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İnegölspor
2-0
AWAY 24Erzincanspor
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İnegölspor vs 24Erzincanspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İnegölspor got the better of 24Erzincanspor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; İnegölspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, İnegölspor had 49% of the ball to 24Erzincanspor's 51%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, 24Erzincanspor led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for İnegölspor and 1.33 for 24Erzincanspor.

What was the final score of İnegölspor vs 24Erzincanspor?

İnegölspor 2-0 24Erzincanspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İnegölspor vs 24Erzincanspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İnegölspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split İnegölspor 36%, draw 31%, 24Erzincanspor 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İnegölspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İnegölspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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