San Giovanni 2-3 Juvenes / Dogana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — San Marino - Şampiyona, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.84
Draw
19%
3.18
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
No Pick
65%
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
37%
4-5
16%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
32%
+12.0pp
19%
Draw
28%
-8.5pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Giovanni The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Juvenes / Dogana The Market 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
276 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Giovanni
2-3
AWAY Juvenes / Dogana
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH San Giovanni vs Juvenes / Dogana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juvenes / Dogana squeezed past San Giovanni 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was San Giovanni at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Giovanni had 49% of the ball to Juvenes / Dogana's 51%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of San Giovanni vs Juvenes / Dogana?

San Giovanni 2-3 Juvenes / Dogana in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Giovanni vs Juvenes / Dogana?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Giovanni win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split San Giovanni 43%, draw 19%, Juvenes / Dogana 37%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Giovanni) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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