13/01/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Pikine vs Stade de Mbour Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
55%
Home Win
66%
18%
Draw
20%
27%
Away Win
14%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pikine v Stade de Mbour — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pikine
The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Stade de Mbour
The Market 17%
+26% /
+26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+46%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
400 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
241 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Pikine vs Stade de Mbour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Pikine edged past Stade de Mbour 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Pikine as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
What was the final score of Pikine vs Stade de Mbour?
Pikine 1-0 Stade de Mbour in the Senegal - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pikine vs Stade de Mbour?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pikine win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Pikine 55%, draw 18%, Stade de Mbour 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pikine), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Pikine)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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