Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Phrae United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nong Bua Pitchaya v Phrae United — Team-Based Signals
Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-2 Phrae United — Actual Match Statistics
Nong Bua Pitchaya edged past Phrae United 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Phrae United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Nong Bua Pitchaya had 45% of the ball to Phrae United's 55%, shots finished 11-7.
What was the final score of Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Phrae United?
Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-2 Phrae United in the Thailand - 2nd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Phrae United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Phrae United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nong Bua Pitchaya 28%, draw 24%, Phrae United 49%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.