Atromitos 1-1 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.27
2-3 Goals
46%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.34
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
14%
5.14
X/2
11%
5.97
X/X
10%
4.53
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
27.5
2/2
15%
4.13
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
40%
+6.5pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.6pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.20/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.08
+23% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
14.5 Crosses 16.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
2W-3D-1L
AWAY OFI
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.89 xG 1.09
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
258 Passes 408
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
29.04.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 2-3 HT 2-2 OFI OFI YUN
22.12.2022 OFI OFI 0-1 HT 0-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
20.08.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 3-1 HT 2-1 OFI OFI YUN
17.04.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
16.02.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 2-2 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
1-1
AWAY OFI
0.53 xG 0.79
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
264 Passes 382
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos and OFI couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atromitos at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atromitos had 44% of the ball to OFI's 56%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.53 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atromitos had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atromitos and 1.33 for OFI.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs OFI?

Atromitos 1-1 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atromitos win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 47%, draw 22%, OFI 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atromitos), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atromitos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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