ZESCO United 2-0 Nkwazi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Zambiya - Super League, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
43%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No Pick
55%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
33%
4-5
30%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ZESCO United The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nkwazi The Market 39%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.67
-5% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +64%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ZESCO United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nkwazi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
11.12.2021 ZESCO United ZESCO United 1-0 HT 1-0 Nkwazi Nkwazi ZAM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ZESCO United
2-0
AWAY Nkwazi
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH ZESCO United vs Nkwazi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ZESCO United beat Nkwazi 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nkwazi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, ZESCO United had 42% of the ball to Nkwazi's 58%, shots finished 6-18.

What was the final score of ZESCO United vs Nkwazi?

ZESCO United 2-0 Nkwazi in the Zambiya - Super League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ZESCO United vs Nkwazi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nkwazi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ZESCO United 34%, draw 24%, Nkwazi 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Nkwazi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nkwazi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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ZAM More Zambiya - Super League
13 Jan 2024
16:00 Nkana vs Green Eagles Analysis →