Real Sociedad 1-0 Villarreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 13 Jan 2025

Real Sociedad
1-0 HT 0-0
Villarreal
📅13/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Real Sociedad vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.7
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
15%
4.51
X/2
13%
7.69
X/X
12%
4.58
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
15%
5.75
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.1pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Sociedad v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.50/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.35
-10% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
18.9 Crosses 14.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1

Real Sociedad vs Villarreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Villarreal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 Passes 297
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.02.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-3 HT 0-1 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
09.12.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 0-3 HT 0-3 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
02.04.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
09.10.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 1-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
15.05.2022 Villarreal Villarreal 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
18.12.2021 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-3 HT 1-1 Villarreal Villarreal İS1

Real Sociedad 1-0 Villarreal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
1-0
AWAY Villarreal
0.81 xG 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
396 Passes 257
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Villarreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad nicked a narrow win over Villarreal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Real Sociedad found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 57% of the ball to Villarreal's 43%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.81 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.50 for Villarreal.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Villarreal?

Real Sociedad 1-0 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 13/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Villarreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 40%, draw 26%, Villarreal 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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