Göztepe 5-0 Kasımpaşa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 13 Jan 2025

Göztepe
5-0 HT 1-0
Kasımpaşa
📅13/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Göztepe vs Kasımpaşa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.67
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
17%
4.59
X/2
10%
7.64
X/X
9%
4.93
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
11%
5.47
2/X
9%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Göztepe v Kasımpaşa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.88/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.74
+11% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
21.7 Crosses 17.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Göztepe vs Kasımpaşa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.87 xG 1.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
334 Passes 323
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.03.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 2-3 HT 1-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
17.10.2021 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-2 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
28.02.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
23.10.2020 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 0-0 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
13.03.2020 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-0 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
27.10.2019 Göztepe Göztepe 1-4 HT 1-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL

Göztepe 5-0 Kasımpaşa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
5-0
AWAY Kasımpaşa
4.13 xG 0.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
247 Passes 243
69% Pass Accuracy 65%
43 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Kasımpaşa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe cruised past Kasımpaşa 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Göztepe as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Göztepe had 49% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 51%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 4.13 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Göztepe and 1.67 for Kasımpaşa.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Kasımpaşa?

Göztepe 5-0 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 13/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Kasımpaşa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 50%, draw 23%, Kasımpaşa 27%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göztepe), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Göztepe) ✓ Over 2.5
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