Bayeux 0-9 Marsilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 13 Jan 2026

Bayeux
0-9 HT 0-4
Marsilya
📅13/01/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
France - Cup – 2025/2026

Bayeux vs Marsilya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
13%
8.78
Away
72%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.0
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
20.05
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
46%
3.8
4-5 Goals
18%
2.36
6+ Goals
21%
2.04
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 3.8 — our 46% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
35.0
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
6%
35.0
X/1
5%
35.0
X/2
11%
4.96
X/X
4%
30.5
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
52%
2/X
3%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
+4.5pp
13%
Draw
11%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayeux v Marsilya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayeux EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya EU Bookmakers 97%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
242 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.0
– Crosses 19.8
– Yellow Cards 1.4

Bayeux 0-9 Marsilya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayeux
0-9
AWAY Marsilya
0.27 xG 5.55
23% Ball Possession 77%
5 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 15
4 Corners 5
133 Passes 653
66% Pass Accuracy 93%
10 Box Touches 60
11 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayeux vs Marsilya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsilya cruised past Bayeux 9-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 9-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bayeux had 23% of the ball to Marsilya's 77%, shots finished 5-24, expected goals 0.27 to 5.55.

What was the final score of Bayeux vs Marsilya?

Bayeux 0-9 Marsilya in the France - Cup on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayeux vs Marsilya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Bayeux 15%, draw 13%, Marsilya 72%. The final score 0-9 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsilya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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