Needham Market 5-0 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 23%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +25%
1.71/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.68
-10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Needham Market
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Leiston
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.08.2023 Leiston Leiston 0-0 HT 0-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
10.04.2023 Needham Market Needham Market 0-1 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
26.12.2022 Leiston Leiston 2-1 HT 1-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
01.02.2022 Needham Market Needham Market 3-0 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
02.11.2021 Leiston Leiston 1-0 HT 0-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Needham Market
5-0
AWAY Leiston
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Needham Market ran out comfortable winners over Leiston 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Needham Market as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Needham Market had 48% of the ball to Leiston's 52%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Leiston led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Needham Market and 0.80 for Leiston.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Leiston?

Needham Market 5-0 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Needham Market win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 46%, draw 26%, Leiston 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Needham Market) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Needham Market) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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