Roma (K) 3-0 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.25
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
76%
-8.3pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.0pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.69/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.01
+50% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +93%
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
465 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 68%
59.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
25.0 Crosses 12.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
19.11.2023 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
3-0
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
3.27 xG 0.29
61% Ball Possession 39%
32 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
532 Passes 311
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
64 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) cruised past Sassuolo (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Roma (K) had 61% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 39%, shots finished 32-7, expected goals 3.27 to 0.29.

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Roma (K) 3-0 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 67%, draw 19%, Sassuolo (K) 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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