Breidablik 1-3 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.68
Over 2.5
59%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.28
No
40%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.0pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
24%
+17.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
76%
-17.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
74%
-13.8pp
40%
BTTS No
26%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 40%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
3.26/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.89
+116% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +89%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.64 xG 1.71
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
386 Passes 196
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
30 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 0-2 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
03.09.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 0-2 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
10.06.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 HT 1-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
05.06.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZK
17.02.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 3-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZLK
24.07.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 0-0 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
1-3
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur got the better of Breidablik 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; FH Hafnarfjordur found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Breidablik had 48% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 52%, shots finished 7-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Breidablik and 1.33 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Breidablik 1-3 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - League Cup on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated an FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 33%, draw 31%, FH Hafnarfjordur 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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