Shandong Taishan 2-3 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
14%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.25
1/2
7%
22.9
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
8%
7.37
X/2
17%
4.43
X/X
13%
5.05
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
20%
2.58
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-4.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan
2-3
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.72 xG 1.85
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
254 Passes 173
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
46 Box Touches 10
41 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale nicked a narrow win over Shandong Taishan 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kawasaki Frontale as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Shandong Taishan had 58% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 42%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.72 to 1.85.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Shandong Taishan 2-3 Kawasaki Frontale in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 30%, draw 25%, Kawasaki Frontale 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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