Rot Weiss Ahlen 3-2 Schalke 04 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot Weiss Ahlen EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 II EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +4%
1.35/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/1.46
-3% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
208 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot Weiss Ahlen
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Schalke 04 II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.04.2023 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen 1-3 HT 0-1 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 2-2 HT 0-0 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen ALMBÖL
13.04.2022 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen 3-2 HT 2-0 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II ALMBÖL
14.09.2021 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 5-3 HT 4-0 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen ALMBÖL
08.05.2021 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 6-1 HT 1-0 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen ALMBÖL
25.11.2020 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen 1-1 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot Weiss Ahlen
3-2
AWAY Schalke 04 II
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Schalke 04 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot Weiss Ahlen squeezed past Schalke 04 II 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Schalke 04 II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Rot Weiss Ahlen had 40% of the ball to Schalke 04 II's 60%, shots finished 9-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rot Weiss Ahlen and 3.17 for Schalke 04 II.

What was the final score of Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Schalke 04 II?

Rot Weiss Ahlen 3-2 Schalke 04 II in the Germany - Regional League on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Schalke 04 II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Schalke 04 II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rot Weiss Ahlen 32%, draw 25%, Schalke 04 II 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Schalke 04 II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Schalke 04 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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